Tropical Storm Gonzalo Updates

Atlantic Tropical Depression CINDY Forecast/Advisory Number 12

National Hurricane Center - Forecast/Advisory for Atlantic wallet 3


000
WTNT23 KNHC 221434
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CINDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032017
1500 UTC THU JUN 22 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY
LOUISIANA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OF WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 93.5W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 93.5W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 93.6W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 32.8N 93.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 35.0N 90.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 37.0N 86.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 93.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER
BEGINNING AT 4 PM CDT, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3, WMO HEADER
WTNT33 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


Posted: June 22, 2017, 2:34 pm

Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico (Aviation Color Enhancement) (GOES 12; NOAA/SSD)

Tropical Storm Force Wind Speed Probabilities - 120 Hours

Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center

Hurricane Force Wind Speed Probabilities - 120 Hours

Latest Gonzalo News

All Clear Issued On Gonzalo

Just after 6am, the National Emergency Operations Centre announced that the immediate threat posed by Hurricane Gonzalo to the Territory is over. The official ALL CLEAR has therefore been declared. This means that the weather system continues to move away from the Territory, but residents should exercise caution.

Hurricane Gonzalo Forms

On the forecast track the Centre of Gonzalo will continue to move through the northern Leeward Islands tonight and be near or east of the British Virgin Islands tonight and early Tuesday. Reports from the reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours and Gonzalo could become a major hurricane by Wednesday.

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Strengthening

At 200pm the centre of tropical storm Gonzalo was located by an air force reserve reconnaissance aircraft and Guadeloupe radar near latitude 17.4 north longitude 62.4 west. Gonzalo is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph. This general motion is expected to continue today followed by a turn toward the northwest tonight. On the forecast track the Centre of Gonzalo will continue to move through the northern Leeward Islands tonight and be near or over the British Virgin Islands tonight and early Tuesday. Reports from the reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours...and Gonzalo is expected to become a hurricane by this evening.

Gonzalo is expected to pass over the British Virgin Islands tonight

The tropical storm warning and hurricane watch issued for the British Virgin Islands remain in effect. Gonzalo is expected to pass over the British Virgin Islands tonight. Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area tonight and early Tuesday with tropical storm conditions expected by this evening. Gonzalo is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the Leeward Islands, British and U.S. Virgin Islands and eastern Puerto Rico, with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches possible.

Tropical Storm Gonzalo develops; Storm Watch for British Virgin Islands

At 1:30 p.m., the National Hurricane Centre has upgraded Invest 90L (Disturbance 1) to Tropical Storm Gonzalo. This follows newly acquired data from a reconnaissance aircraft that indicated the disturbance has developed into a tropical storm. The Antigua Met Service has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for the British Virgin Islands. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 48 hours.