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BVI Hurricane Season 2015

Tropical Storm Erika expected near BVI on Thursday

At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erika was located near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 57.6 West. Erika is moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a west to west-northwestward motion is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical Storm Danny Tracking West

At 11:00 a.m., the centre of Tropical Storm Danny was located near latitude 11.1 degrees North, longitude 41.1 degrees West. Danny is moving toward the west near 12 miles per hour (mph) and a track to west to the west-northwest at a slightly slower speed is expected during the next 48 hours. Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is predicted during the next 48 hours.

Quiet Season But BVI Still Has 16% Probability Of Named Storm Within 50 Miles

Earlier in June, hurricane experts from the Colorado State University, Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray, issued an update to their original hurricane forecast showing little change to their initial predictions for the 2015 hurricane season. With an increase in named storms by one, due to the early formation of Tropical Storm Ana in May, they reiterated that we have a 22% chance of a major hurricane tracking in to the Caribbean during the 2015 hurricane season. Their findings, broken down island by island, make interesting reading and caution against complacency.