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Hurricane Danny upgraded to Category Two

LOCATION…14.0N 48.2W

ABOUT 930 MI…1495 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH…165 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…976 MB…28.82 INCHES

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At 11:00 a.m.,Hurricane Danny was upgraded to a Category Two Hurricane. The center of hurricane was located near latitude 14 degrees north, longitude 48.2 degrees west or about 1146 miles south east of the British Virgin Islands. Danny is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 miles per hour (mph). A turn toward the west is expected on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 105 mph with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb.

The system strengthened significantly overnight and continues to strengthen. Further intensification is expected before Danny encounters a less conducive environment and begins to show signs of weakening during the next 48 hours.

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According to NOAA Forecaster Beven “Danny is currently in an environment of light vertical wind shear. However, it is about to encounter increasing upper-level southwesterly flow associated with a trough over the northeastern Caribbean, with the shear forecast to increase to over 20 kt by 96 hours. This, combined with the abundant dry air remaining along the forecast track, should cause Danny to weaken below hurricane strength as it approaches the Caribbean islands.”

Danny remains a compact hurricane.  Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles while tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the centre.

A National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate Danny late this afternoon.

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Expected Impacts on Land
The track guidance forecasts Danny to be near the Leeward Islands in about 72 hours, near Puerto Rico in about 96 hours. Power outages are likely due to increased winds possibly by late Monday or early Tuesday. Flooding and landslides are also possible.

Residents of the British Virgin Islands are advised to monitor the system as it progresses.