Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray of Colorado State University continue to foresee a well below-average 2015 Atlantic hurricane season. A strong El Niño event now appears likely. Conditions in the tropical Atlantic remain unfavorable for hurricane formation. They continue to call for a below-average probability of United States and Caribbean major hurricane landfall (as of 1 June 2015).
On 9th April 2015, the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University, issued its Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and Landfall Strike Probability for 2015.
Invest 92L is being watched in the Atlantic. Currently moving West at 20 mph with wind speeds of 34 mph but with a 20% chance of formation in next 5 days.
After a night of thunder, lightning and heavy showers, the Antigua Met Service has lifted the Flash Flood Warning for the British VIrgin Islands (BVI) but a Flash Flood Watch is in effect until 4pm today (Friday, September 6 ); a trough system along with the remnants of Gabrielle will cause the atmosphere across the British Virgin Islands to remain unstable.
According to the Antigua Met Service a surface trough is affecting the Leeward Islands and British Virgin Islands. It will continue to generate cloudy skies with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. The flash flood warning for the British Virgin Islands is extended until 6am tomorrow Friday.
At the 5am this morning, the now upgraded Tropical Storm Gabrielle was about 40 miles south-south-west of Ponce, Puerto Rico. A small craft advisory is in effect and the flash flood warning issued last night has been extended to 4pm today (Thursday, September 5). Winds of 25mph are forecast with gusts of 40mph.