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2016 Hurricane Season Forecast

Philip J. Klotzbach of the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University has issued his predictions for the 2016 Hurricane Season.

We continue to anticipate that the 2016 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have approximately average activity. The current weakening El Niño is likely to transition to weak La Niña conditions by the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. While the tropical Atlantic is relatively warm, the far North Atlantic and subtropical northeastern Atlantic are quite cold, potentially indicative of a negative phase of the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation. We anticipate a near-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted. (as of 1 June 2016)

A total of 12 named storms, five hurricanes and two major hurricane are expected this season, according to the forecast prepared by CSU.  This is close to the 30-year average of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes. A major hurricane is one that is Category 3 or stronger on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

The full report can be read at http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/2016/june2016/jun2016.pdf

Tropical Cyclone names for 2016

Alex
Bonnie
Colin
Danielle
Earl
Fiona
Gaston
Hermine
Ian
Julia
Karl
Lisa
Matthew
Nicole
Otto
Paula
Richard
Shary
Tobias
Virginie
Walter