At 200 PM AST, the center of Tropical Storm Erika was located near latitude 16.5 North, longitude 63.8 West. Erika is moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is forecast later today, and this general motion should continue for the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Erika will move near the Virgin Islands later today, move near or over Puerto Rico tonight, and move near or over the Dominican Republic on Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.
At 8.00am, the eye of the storm was about 180 miles (290 km) away from Tortola. If the system keeps moving at its current speed of 16 mph, the eye of Tropical Storm Erika will be over Tortola at approximately 7.00pm tonight. However, with tropical storm force winds extending outwards 105 miles from the centre, tropical storm winds will start being felt at about 1.00pm today.